Manny Pacquiao vs Junior dos Santos — stats-based predictionManny Pacquiao vs Junior dos Santos — stats-based prediction

Manny Pacquiao vs Junior dos Santos

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇵🇭

Manny Pacquiao

73-8-3
VS
🇧🇷

Junior dos Santos

23-10-0
39%10% Draw51%
Pacquiao
Santos
Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Junior dos Santos a 51% edge over Manny Pacquiao in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Manny Pacquiao wins 87% vs Junior dos Santos at 70%

Pacquiao
10.0
Santos
8.4
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 70%

Pacquiao
0.0
Santos
8.3
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 166cm / 190cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Pacquiao
1.0
Santos
9.8
DurabilityWeight: ★★

90% survival rate vs 70%

Pacquiao
10.0
Santos
7.7
ExperienceWeight: ★★

84 bouts vs 33 bouts

Pacquiao
10.0
Santos
5.1
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

47 years old vs 42 years old

Pacquiao
3.0
Santos
3.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.