BREAKINGManny Pacquiao vs Conor McGregor — stats-based predictionBREAKINGManny Pacquiao vs Conor McGregor — stats-based prediction

Manny Pacquiao vs Conor McGregor

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇵🇭

Manny Pacquiao

73-8-3
VS
🇮🇪

Conor McGregor

22-6-0
40%10% Draw50%
Pacquiao
McGregor
Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Conor McGregor a 50% edge over Manny Pacquiao in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Manny Pacquiao wins 87% vs Conor McGregor at 79%

Pacquiao
10.0
McGregor
9.4
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 86%

Pacquiao
0.0
McGregor
10.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 166cm / 174cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Pacquiao
3.4
McGregor
6.6
DurabilityWeight: ★★

90% survival rate vs 79%

Pacquiao
10.0
McGregor
8.6
ExperienceWeight: ★★

84 bouts vs 28 bouts

Pacquiao
10.0
McGregor
4.7
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

47 years old vs 38 years old

Pacquiao
3.0
McGregor
5.2
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.