Machado Garry vs Vicente Luque — stats-based predictionMachado Garry vs Vicente Luque — stats-based prediction

Machado Garry vs Vicente Luque

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Machado Garry

17-2-0
VS
🇧🇷

Vicente Luque

24-12-1
48%10% Draw42%
Garry
Luque
Predicted outcome: TKO / Late Stoppage

Our stats-based model gives Machado Garry a 48% edge over Vicente Luque in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a TKO / Late Stoppage in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Machado Garry wins 89% vs Vicente Luque at 65%

Garry
10.0
Luque
7.8
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

41% stoppage rate vs 46%

Garry
4.9
Luque
5.5
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 191cm / 180cm, Reach 188cm / ?cm

Garry
7.0
Luque
3.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

89% survival rate vs 68%

Garry
9.8
Luque
7.4
ExperienceWeight: ★★

19 bouts vs 37 bouts

Garry
6.1
Luque
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

30 years old vs 35 years old

Garry
8.0
Luque
8.2

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.