Lucas Norat vs Pedro Machado

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: LOW

Lucas Norat

0-0-0

Pedro Machado

13-11-0

37%9% Draw54%

Norat

Machado

Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Pedro Machado a 54% edge over Lucas Norat in this matchup. The prediction is driven by experience as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Lucas Norat wins 50% vs Pedro Machado at 54%

Norat

6.0

Machado

6.5

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 31%

Norat

0.0

Machado

3.7

DurabilityWeight: ★★

50% survival rate vs 54%

Norat

5.5

Machado

6.0

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height ?cm / ?cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Norat

5.0

Machado

5.0

ExperienceWeight: ★★

0 bouts vs 24 bouts

Norat

2.0

Machado

10.0

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

30 years old vs 30 years old

Norat

8.0

Machado

8.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.