Liz Carmouche vs Junior dos Santos

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Liz Carmouche

25-8-0

🇧🇷

Junior dos Santos

23-10-0

40%10% Draw50%

Carmouche

Santos

Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Junior dos Santos a 50% edge over Liz Carmouche in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Liz Carmouche wins 76% vs Junior dos Santos at 70%

Carmouche

9.1

Santos

8.4

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

44% stoppage rate vs 70%

Carmouche

5.3

Santos

8.3

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 168cm / 190cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Carmouche

1.0

Santos

9.4

DurabilityWeight: ★★

76% survival rate vs 70%

Carmouche

8.3

Santos

7.7

ExperienceWeight: ★★

33 bouts vs 33 bouts

Carmouche

10.0

Santos

10.0

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

42 years old vs 42 years old

Carmouche

3.0

Santos

3.0

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AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.