Khamzat Chimaev vs Tyron Woodley

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Khamzat Chimaev

15-0-0

Tyron Woodley

19-7-1

50%10% Draw40%

Chimaev

Woodley

Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Khamzat Chimaev a 50% edge over Tyron Woodley in this matchup. The prediction is driven by age & prime as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Khamzat Chimaev wins 100% vs Tyron Woodley at 70%

Chimaev

10.0

Woodley

8.4

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

40% stoppage rate vs 37%

Chimaev

4.8

Woodley

4.4

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 188cm / 179cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Chimaev

6.8

Woodley

3.2

DurabilityWeight: ★★

100% survival rate vs 74%

Chimaev

10.0

Woodley

8.1

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

32 years old vs 44 years old

Chimaev

8.0

Woodley

3.0

ExperienceWeight: ★★

15 bouts vs 27 bouts

Chimaev

6.4

Woodley

10.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.