Khamzat Chimaev vs Benson Henderson — stats-based predictionKhamzat Chimaev vs Benson Henderson — stats-based prediction

Khamzat Chimaev vs Benson Henderson

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Khamzat Chimaev

15-0-0
VS

Benson Henderson

30-12-0
51%10% Draw39%
Chimaev
Henderson
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Khamzat Chimaev a 51% edge over Benson Henderson in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Khamzat Chimaev wins 100% vs Benson Henderson at 71%

Chimaev
10.0
Henderson
8.6
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

40% stoppage rate vs 17%

Chimaev
4.8
Henderson
2.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 188cm / 175cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Chimaev
7.0
Henderson
3.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

100% survival rate vs 71%

Chimaev
10.0
Henderson
7.9
ExperienceWeight: ★★

15 bouts vs 42 bouts

Chimaev
4.9
Henderson
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

32 years old vs 43 years old

Chimaev
8.0
Henderson
3.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.