Khamzat Chimaev vs Arman Tsarukyan — stats-based predictionKhamzat Chimaev vs Arman Tsarukyan — stats-based prediction

Khamzat Chimaev vs Arman Tsarukyan

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Khamzat Chimaev

15-0-0
VS

Arman Tsarukyan

23-3-0
46%10% Draw44%
Chimaev
Tsarukyan
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Khamzat Chimaev a 46% edge over Arman Tsarukyan in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Khamzat Chimaev wins 100% vs Arman Tsarukyan at 88%

Chimaev
10.0
Tsarukyan
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

40% stoppage rate vs 39%

Chimaev
4.8
Tsarukyan
4.7
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 188cm / 170cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Chimaev
7.0
Tsarukyan
3.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

100% survival rate vs 88%

Chimaev
10.0
Tsarukyan
9.7
ExperienceWeight: ★★

15 bouts vs 26 bouts

Chimaev
6.6
Tsarukyan
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

32 years old vs 30 years old

Chimaev
8.0
Tsarukyan
8.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.