Khamzat Chimaev vs Alex Volkanovski — stats-based predictionKhamzat Chimaev vs Alex Volkanovski — stats-based prediction

Khamzat Chimaev vs Alex Volkanovski

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Khamzat Chimaev

15-0-0
VS

Alex Volkanovski

28-4-0
43%10% Draw47%
Chimaev
Volkanovski
Predicted outcome: TKO / Late Stoppage

Our stats-based model gives Alex Volkanovski a 47% edge over Khamzat Chimaev in this matchup. The prediction is driven by experience as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a TKO / Late Stoppage in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Khamzat Chimaev wins 100% vs Alex Volkanovski at 88%

Chimaev
10.0
Volkanovski
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

40% stoppage rate vs 46%

Chimaev
4.8
Volkanovski
5.6
DurabilityWeight: ★★

100% survival rate vs 88%

Chimaev
10.0
Volkanovski
9.6
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 188cm / ?cm, Reach ?cm / 5cm

Chimaev
5.0
Volkanovski
5.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

15 bouts vs 32 bouts

Chimaev
5.8
Volkanovski
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

32 years old vs 30 years old

Chimaev
8.0
Volkanovski
8.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.