Josh Padley vs Moussa Gholam — stats-based predictionJosh Padley vs Moussa Gholam — stats-based prediction

Josh Padley vs Moussa Gholam

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: LOW

Josh Padley

19-1-0
VS

Moussa Gholam

0-0-0
58%7% Draw35%
Padley
Gholam
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Josh Padley a 58% edge over Moussa Gholam in this matchup. The prediction is driven by win rate as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Josh Padley wins 95% vs Moussa Gholam at 50%

Padley
10.0
Gholam
6.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Padley
0.0
Gholam
0.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

95% survival rate vs 50%

Padley
10.0
Gholam
5.5
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 170cm / ?cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Padley
5.0
Gholam
5.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

20 bouts vs 0 bouts

Padley
10.0
Gholam
2.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

30 years old vs 30 years old

Padley
8.0
Gholam
8.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.