BREAKINGJoseph Parker vs Teófilo Stevenson — stats-based predictionBREAKINGJoseph Parker vs Teófilo Stevenson — stats-based prediction

Joseph Parker vs Teófilo Stevenson

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇳🇿

Joseph Parker

40-4-0
VS
🇨🇺

Teófilo Stevenson

332-22-8
44%10% Draw46%
Parker
Stevenson
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Teófilo Stevenson a 46% edge over Joseph Parker in this matchup. The prediction is driven by experience as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Joseph Parker wins 91% vs Teófilo Stevenson at 92%

Parker
10.0
Stevenson
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Parker
0.0
Stevenson
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 193cm / 196cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Parker
4.4
Stevenson
5.6
DurabilityWeight: ★★

91% survival rate vs 94%

Parker
10.0
Stevenson
10.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

44 bouts vs 362 bouts

Parker
3.0
Stevenson
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

34 years old vs 74 years old

Parker
8.7
Stevenson
3.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.