Joseph Benavidez vs Terence Crawford — stats-based predictionJoseph Benavidez vs Terence Crawford — stats-based prediction

Joseph Benavidez vs Terence Crawford

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Joseph Benavidez

28-8-0
VS

Terence Crawford

42-0-0
43%10% Draw47%
Benavidez
Crawford
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Terence Crawford a 47% edge over Joseph Benavidez in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Joseph Benavidez wins 78% vs Terence Crawford at 100%

Benavidez
9.3
Crawford
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

29% stoppage rate vs 0%

Benavidez
3.4
Crawford
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 163cm / 173cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Benavidez
3.0
Crawford
7.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

78% survival rate vs 100%

Benavidez
8.6
Crawford
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

42 years old vs 39 years old

Benavidez
3.0
Crawford
4.3
ExperienceWeight: ★★

36 bouts vs 42 bouts

Benavidez
8.9
Crawford
10.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.