Joseph Benavidez vs Ryan Garcia — stats-based predictionJoseph Benavidez vs Ryan Garcia — stats-based prediction

Joseph Benavidez vs Ryan Garcia

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Joseph Benavidez

28-8-0
VS

Ryan Garcia

28-2-0
41%10% Draw49%
Benavidez
Garcia
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Ryan Garcia a 49% edge over Joseph Benavidez in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Joseph Benavidez wins 78% vs Ryan Garcia at 93%

Benavidez
9.3
Garcia
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

29% stoppage rate vs 0%

Benavidez
3.4
Garcia
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 163cm / 178cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Benavidez
2.0
Garcia
8.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

78% survival rate vs 93%

Benavidez
8.6
Garcia
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

42 years old vs 28 years old

Benavidez
3.0
Garcia
8.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

36 bouts vs 30 bouts

Benavidez
10.0
Garcia
8.7

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.