Joseph Benavidez vs Oleksandr Gvozdyk — stats-based predictionJoseph Benavidez vs Oleksandr Gvozdyk — stats-based prediction

Joseph Benavidez vs Oleksandr Gvozdyk

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Joseph Benavidez

28-8-0
VS
🇺🇦

Oleksandr Gvozdyk

23-3-0
42%10% Draw48%
Benavidez
Gvozdyk
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Oleksandr Gvozdyk a 48% edge over Joseph Benavidez in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Joseph Benavidez wins 78% vs Oleksandr Gvozdyk at 88%

Benavidez
9.3
Gvozdyk
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

29% stoppage rate vs 0%

Benavidez
3.4
Gvozdyk
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 163cm / 190cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Benavidez
1.0
Gvozdyk
10.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

78% survival rate vs 88%

Benavidez
8.6
Gvozdyk
9.7
ExperienceWeight: ★★

36 bouts vs 26 bouts

Benavidez
10.0
Gvozdyk
7.8
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

42 years old vs 40 years old

Benavidez
3.0
Gvozdyk
3.5

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.