Joseph Benavidez vs Jonathan Martin

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: HIGH

Joseph Benavidez

28-8-0

Jonathan Martin

23-6-0

38%10% Draw52%

Benavidez

Martin

Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Jonathan Martin a 52% edge over Joseph Benavidez in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Joseph Benavidez wins 78% vs Jonathan Martin at 79%

Benavidez

9.3

Martin

9.5

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

29% stoppage rate vs 74%

Benavidez

3.4

Martin

8.9

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 163cm / 188cm, Reach ?cm / 198cm

Benavidez

1.0

Martin

10.0

DurabilityWeight: ★★

78% survival rate vs 79%

Benavidez

8.6

Martin

8.7

ExperienceWeight: ★★

36 bouts vs 29 bouts

Benavidez

10.0

Martin

8.4

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

42 years old vs 43 years old

Benavidez

3.0

Martin

3.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.