Joseph Benavidez vs Floyd Mayweather — stats-based predictionJoseph Benavidez vs Floyd Mayweather — stats-based prediction

Joseph Benavidez vs Floyd Mayweather

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Joseph Benavidez

28-8-0
VS

Floyd Mayweather

50-0-0
43%10% Draw47%
Benavidez
Mayweather
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Floyd Mayweather a 47% edge over Joseph Benavidez in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Joseph Benavidez wins 78% vs Floyd Mayweather at 100%

Benavidez
9.3
Mayweather
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

29% stoppage rate vs 0%

Benavidez
3.4
Mayweather
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 163cm / 170cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Benavidez
3.6
Mayweather
6.4
DurabilityWeight: ★★

78% survival rate vs 100%

Benavidez
8.6
Mayweather
10.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

36 bouts vs 50 bouts

Benavidez
7.8
Mayweather
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

42 years old vs 50 years old

Benavidez
3.0
Mayweather
3.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.