Joseph Benavidez vs Eddie Alvarez

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Joseph Benavidez

28-8-0

Eddie Alvarez

30-8-0

40%10% Draw50%

Benavidez

Alvarez

Predicted outcome: TKO / Late Stoppage

Our stats-based model gives Eddie Alvarez a 50% edge over Joseph Benavidez in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a TKO / Late Stoppage in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Joseph Benavidez wins 78% vs Eddie Alvarez at 79%

Benavidez

9.3

Alvarez

9.5

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

29% stoppage rate vs 57%

Benavidez

3.4

Alvarez

6.8

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 163cm / 175cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Benavidez

2.6

Alvarez

7.4

DurabilityWeight: ★★

78% survival rate vs 79%

Benavidez

8.6

Alvarez

8.7

ExperienceWeight: ★★

36 bouts vs 38 bouts

Benavidez

9.6

Alvarez

10.0

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

42 years old vs 43 years old

Benavidez

3.0

Alvarez

3.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.