Joseph Benavidez vs David Benavidez

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Joseph Benavidez

28-8-0

David Benavidez

31-0-0

36%8% Draw56%

Benavidez

Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives David Benavidez a 56% edge over Joseph Benavidez in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Joseph Benavidez wins 78% vs David Benavidez at 100%

Benavidez

9.3

Benavidez

10.0

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

29% stoppage rate vs 81%

Benavidez

3.4

Benavidez

9.7

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 163cm / 185cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Benavidez

1.0

Benavidez

9.4

DurabilityWeight: ★★

78% survival rate vs 100%

Benavidez

8.6

Benavidez

10.0

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

42 years old vs 29 years old

Benavidez

3.0

Benavidez

8.0

ExperienceWeight: ★★

36 bouts vs 31 bouts

Benavidez

10.0

Benavidez

8.9

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.