Jorge Masvidal vs Vladimir Hernandez

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: HIGH

Jorge Masvidal

35-17-0

Vladimir Hernandez

60-22-2

44%10% Draw46%

Masvidal

Hernandez

Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Vladimir Hernandez a 46% edge over Jorge Masvidal in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Jorge Masvidal wins 67% vs Vladimir Hernandez at 71%

Masvidal

8.1

Hernandez

8.6

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

46% stoppage rate vs 0%

Masvidal

5.5

Hernandez

0.0

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 180cm / 191cm, Reach ?cm / 208cm

Masvidal

2.8

Hernandez

7.2

DurabilityWeight: ★★

67% survival rate vs 74%

Masvidal

7.4

Hernandez

8.1

ExperienceWeight: ★★

52 bouts vs 84 bouts

Masvidal

7.0

Hernandez

10.0

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

42 years old vs 47 years old

Masvidal

3.0

Hernandez

3.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.