Jorge Masvidal vs Nick Diaz

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Jorge Masvidal

35-17-0

Nick Diaz

27-10-0

43%10% Draw47%

Masvidal

Diaz

Predicted outcome: TKO / Late Stoppage

Our stats-based model gives Nick Diaz a 47% edge over Jorge Masvidal in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a TKO / Late Stoppage in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Jorge Masvidal wins 67% vs Nick Diaz at 73%

Masvidal

8.1

Diaz

8.8

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

46% stoppage rate vs 52%

Masvidal

5.5

Diaz

6.2

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 180cm / 185cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Masvidal

4.0

Diaz

6.0

DurabilityWeight: ★★

67% survival rate vs 73%

Masvidal

7.4

Diaz

8.0

ExperienceWeight: ★★

52 bouts vs 37 bouts

Masvidal

10.0

Diaz

7.7

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

42 years old vs 43 years old

Masvidal

3.0

Diaz

3.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.