Jorge Masvidal vs Jake Paul

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Jorge Masvidal

35-17-0

Jake Paul

14-2-0

46%10% Draw44%

Masvidal

Paul

Predicted outcome: TKO / Late Stoppage

Our stats-based model gives Jorge Masvidal a 46% edge over Jake Paul in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a TKO / Late Stoppage in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Jorge Masvidal wins 67% vs Jake Paul at 88%

Masvidal

8.1

Paul

10.0

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

46% stoppage rate vs 0%

Masvidal

5.5

Paul

0.0

DurabilityWeight: ★★

67% survival rate vs 88%

Masvidal

7.4

Paul

9.6

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 180cm / 183cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Masvidal

4.4

Paul

5.6

ExperienceWeight: ★★

52 bouts vs 16 bouts

Masvidal

10.0

Paul

4.5

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

41 years old vs 29 years old

Masvidal

3.0

Paul

8.0

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.