Jorge Masvidal vs Anthony Smith

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Jorge Masvidal

35-17-0

Anthony Smith

39-22-0

41%10% Draw49%

Masvidal

Smith

Predicted outcome: TKO / Late Stoppage

Our stats-based model gives Anthony Smith a 49% edge over Jorge Masvidal in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a TKO / Late Stoppage in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Jorge Masvidal wins 67% vs Anthony Smith at 64%

Masvidal

8.1

Smith

7.7

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

46% stoppage rate vs 51%

Masvidal

5.5

Smith

6.2

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 180cm / 193cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Masvidal

2.4

Smith

7.6

DurabilityWeight: ★★

67% survival rate vs 64%

Masvidal

7.4

Smith

7.0

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

42 years old vs 38 years old

Masvidal

3.0

Smith

4.8

ExperienceWeight: ★★

52 bouts vs 61 bouts

Masvidal

8.8

Smith

10.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.