Jorge Chavez vs Jake Paul

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Jorge Chavez

65-7-1

Jake Paul

14-2-0

48%10% Draw42%

Chavez

Paul

Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Jorge Chavez a 48% edge over Jake Paul in this matchup. The prediction is driven by experience as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Jorge Chavez wins 89% vs Jake Paul at 88%

Chavez

10.0

Paul

10.0

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Chavez

0.0

Paul

0.0

DurabilityWeight: ★★

90% survival rate vs 88%

Chavez

9.9

Paul

9.6

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 183cm / 183cm, Reach 185cm / ?cm

Chavez

5.0

Paul

5.0

ExperienceWeight: ★★

73 bouts vs 16 bouts

Chavez

10.0

Paul

3.8

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

30 years old vs 30 years old

Chavez

8.0

Paul

8.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.