Jonathan Martin vs Eddie Alvarez — stats-based predictionJonathan Martin vs Eddie Alvarez — stats-based prediction

Jonathan Martin vs Eddie Alvarez

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: HIGH

Jonathan Martin

23-6-0
VS

Eddie Alvarez

30-8-0
48%10% Draw42%
Martin
Alvarez
Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Jonathan Martin a 48% edge over Eddie Alvarez in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Jonathan Martin wins 79% vs Eddie Alvarez at 79%

Martin
9.5
Alvarez
9.5
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

74% stoppage rate vs 57%

Martin
8.9
Alvarez
6.8
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 188cm / 175cm, Reach 198cm / ?cm

Martin
7.0
Alvarez
3.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

79% survival rate vs 79%

Martin
8.7
Alvarez
8.7
ExperienceWeight: ★★

29 bouts vs 38 bouts

Martin
8.1
Alvarez
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

43 years old vs 43 years old

Martin
3.0
Alvarez
3.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.