Jonathan Martin vs Conor McGregor — stats-based predictionJonathan Martin vs Conor McGregor — stats-based prediction

Jonathan Martin vs Conor McGregor

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: HIGH

Jonathan Martin

23-6-0
VS
🇮🇪

Conor McGregor

22-6-0
48%10% Draw42%
Martin
McGregor
Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Jonathan Martin a 48% edge over Conor McGregor in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Jonathan Martin wins 79% vs Conor McGregor at 79%

Martin
9.5
McGregor
9.4
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

74% stoppage rate vs 86%

Martin
8.9
McGregor
10.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 188cm / 174cm, Reach 198cm / 188cm

Martin
9.0
McGregor
1.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

79% survival rate vs 79%

Martin
8.7
McGregor
8.6
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

42 years old vs 38 years old

Martin
3.0
McGregor
4.9
ExperienceWeight: ★★

29 bouts vs 28 bouts

Martin
10.0
McGregor
9.7

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.