Jay Rodriguez vs Max Holloway

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Jay Rodriguez

20-5-0

Max Holloway

27-9-0

45%10% Draw45%

Rodriguez

Holloway

Predicted outcome: TKO / Late Stoppage

Our stats-based model gives Max Holloway a 45% edge over Jay Rodriguez in this matchup. The prediction is driven by experience as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a TKO / Late Stoppage in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Jay Rodriguez wins 80% vs Max Holloway at 75%

Rodriguez

9.6

Holloway

9.0

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

40% stoppage rate vs 44%

Rodriguez

4.8

Holloway

5.3

DurabilityWeight: ★★

80% survival rate vs 75%

Rodriguez

8.8

Holloway

8.3

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 180cm / 180cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Rodriguez

5.0

Holloway

5.0

ExperienceWeight: ★★

25 bouts vs 36 bouts

Rodriguez

7.6

Holloway

10.0

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

34 years old vs 35 years old

Rodriguez

9.0

Holloway

8.2

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.