Jake Paul vs Sonny Bill Williams
Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability
PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
Jake Paul
14-2-0VS
🇳🇿
Sonny Bill Williams
11-2-048%10% Draw42%
Paul
Williams
Predicted outcome: Decision
Our stats-based model gives Jake Paul a 48% edge over Sonny Bill Williams in this matchup. The prediction is driven by age & prime as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.
Factor Analysis
Win RateWeight: ★★★
Jake Paul wins 88% vs Sonny Bill Williams at 85%
Paul
10.0
Williams
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★
0% stoppage rate vs 0%
Paul
0.0
Williams
0.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★
88% survival rate vs 85%
Paul
9.6
Williams
9.3
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★
Height 183cm / ?cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm
Paul
5.0
Williams
5.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★
29 years old vs 41 years old
Paul
8.0
Williams
3.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★
16 bouts vs 13 bouts
Paul
10.0
Williams
8.5
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.