Jake Paul vs Sonny Bill Williams — stats-based predictionJake Paul vs Sonny Bill Williams — stats-based prediction

Jake Paul vs Sonny Bill Williams

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Jake Paul

14-2-0
VS
🇳🇿

Sonny Bill Williams

11-2-0
48%10% Draw42%
Paul
Williams
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Jake Paul a 48% edge over Sonny Bill Williams in this matchup. The prediction is driven by age & prime as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Jake Paul wins 88% vs Sonny Bill Williams at 85%

Paul
10.0
Williams
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Paul
0.0
Williams
0.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

88% survival rate vs 85%

Paul
9.6
Williams
9.3
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 183cm / ?cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Paul
5.0
Williams
5.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

29 years old vs 41 years old

Paul
8.0
Williams
3.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

16 bouts vs 13 bouts

Paul
10.0
Williams
8.5

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.