BREAKINGJake Paul vs Sean O'Malley — stats-based predictionBREAKINGJake Paul vs Sean O'Malley — stats-based prediction

Jake Paul vs Sean O'Malley

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Jake Paul

14-2-0
VS

Sean O'Malley

18-3-0
41%10% Draw49%
Paul
O'Malley
Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Sean O'Malley a 49% edge over Jake Paul in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Jake Paul wins 88% vs Sean O'Malley at 86%

Paul
10.0
O'Malley
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 67%

Paul
0.0
O'Malley
8.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 183cm / 180cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Paul
5.6
O'Malley
4.4
DurabilityWeight: ★★

88% survival rate vs 86%

Paul
9.6
O'Malley
9.4
ExperienceWeight: ★★

16 bouts vs 21 bouts

Paul
8.1
O'Malley
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

29 years old vs 31 years old

Paul
8.0
O'Malley
8.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.