Jake Paul vs Jorge Chavez

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Jake Paul

14-2-0

Jorge Chavez

65-7-1

42%10% Draw48%

Paul

Chavez

Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Jorge Chavez a 48% edge over Jake Paul in this matchup. The prediction is driven by experience as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Jake Paul wins 88% vs Jorge Chavez at 89%

Paul

10.0

Chavez

10.0

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Paul

0.0

Chavez

0.0

DurabilityWeight: ★★

88% survival rate vs 90%

Paul

9.6

Chavez

9.9

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 183cm / 183cm, Reach ?cm / 185cm

Paul

5.0

Chavez

5.0

ExperienceWeight: ★★

16 bouts vs 73 bouts

Paul

3.8

Chavez

10.0

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

30 years old vs 30 years old

Paul

8.0

Chavez

8.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.