BREAKINGJake Paul vs Holly Holm — stats-based predictionBREAKINGJake Paul vs Holly Holm — stats-based prediction

Jake Paul vs Holly Holm

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Jake Paul

14-2-0
VS

Holly Holm

15-7-0
47%10% Draw43%
Paul
Holm
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Jake Paul a 47% edge over Holly Holm in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Jake Paul wins 88% vs Holly Holm at 68%

Paul
10.0
Holm
8.2
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 53%

Paul
0.0
Holm
6.4
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 183cm / 173cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Paul
7.0
Holm
3.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

88% survival rate vs 68%

Paul
9.6
Holm
7.5
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

29 years old vs 45 years old

Paul
8.0
Holm
3.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

16 bouts vs 22 bouts

Paul
7.8
Holm
10.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.