BREAKINGJake Paul vs Conor McGregor — stats-based predictionBREAKINGJake Paul vs Conor McGregor — stats-based prediction

Jake Paul vs Conor McGregor

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Jake Paul

14-2-0
VS
🇮🇪

Conor McGregor

22-6-0
41%10% Draw49%
Paul
McGregor
Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Conor McGregor a 49% edge over Jake Paul in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Jake Paul wins 88% vs Conor McGregor at 79%

Paul
10.0
McGregor
9.4
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 86%

Paul
0.0
McGregor
10.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 183cm / 174cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Paul
6.8
McGregor
3.2
DurabilityWeight: ★★

88% survival rate vs 79%

Paul
9.6
McGregor
8.6
ExperienceWeight: ★★

16 bouts vs 28 bouts

Paul
6.6
McGregor
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

29 years old vs 38 years old

Paul
8.0
McGregor
5.2
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.