BREAKINGJake Paul vs Anthony Joshua — stats-based predictionBREAKINGJake Paul vs Anthony Joshua — stats-based prediction

Jake Paul vs Anthony Joshua

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Jake Paul

14-2-0
VS
🇬🇧

Anthony Joshua

33-4-0
41%10% Draw49%
Paul
Joshua
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Anthony Joshua a 49% edge over Jake Paul in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Jake Paul wins 88% vs Anthony Joshua at 89%

Paul
10.0
Joshua
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Paul
0.0
Joshua
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 183cm / 198cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Paul
2.0
Joshua
8.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

88% survival rate vs 89%

Paul
9.6
Joshua
9.8
ExperienceWeight: ★★

16 bouts vs 37 bouts

Paul
5.5
Joshua
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

29 years old vs 37 years old

Paul
8.0
Joshua
6.5
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.