BREAKINGJack Johnson vs Khamzat Chimaev — stats-based predictionBREAKINGJack Johnson vs Khamzat Chimaev — stats-based prediction

Jack Johnson vs Khamzat Chimaev

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Jack Johnson

94-11-10
VS

Khamzat Chimaev

15-0-0
41%10% Draw49%
Johnson
Chimaev
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Khamzat Chimaev a 49% edge over Jack Johnson in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Jack Johnson wins 82% vs Khamzat Chimaev at 100%

Johnson
9.8
Chimaev
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 40%

Johnson
0.0
Chimaev
4.8
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 184cm / 188cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Johnson
4.2
Chimaev
5.8
DurabilityWeight: ★★

90% survival rate vs 100%

Johnson
9.9
Chimaev
10.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

115 bouts vs 15 bouts

Johnson
10.0
Chimaev
3.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

148 years old vs 32 years old

Johnson
3.0
Chimaev
8.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.