Israel Adesanya vs Valentina Shevchenko — stats-based predictionIsrael Adesanya vs Valentina Shevchenko — stats-based prediction

Israel Adesanya vs Valentina Shevchenko

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇳🇿

Israel Adesanya

24-6-0
VS

Valentina Shevchenko

26-4-1
50%10% Draw40%
Adesanya
Shevchenko
Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Israel Adesanya a 50% edge over Valentina Shevchenko in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Israel Adesanya wins 80% vs Valentina Shevchenko at 84%

Adesanya
9.6
Shevchenko
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

67% stoppage rate vs 31%

Adesanya
8.0
Shevchenko
3.7
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 193cm / 165cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Adesanya
7.0
Shevchenko
3.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

80% survival rate vs 87%

Adesanya
8.8
Shevchenko
9.6
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

37 years old vs 38 years old

Adesanya
6.2
Shevchenko
4.8
ExperienceWeight: ★★

30 bouts vs 31 bouts

Adesanya
9.7
Shevchenko
10.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.