Israel Adesanya vs Junior dos Santos

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

🇳🇿

Israel Adesanya

24-6-0

🇧🇷

Junior dos Santos

23-10-0

48%10% Draw42%

Adesanya

Santos

Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Israel Adesanya a 48% edge over Junior dos Santos in this matchup. The prediction is driven by age & prime as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Israel Adesanya wins 80% vs Junior dos Santos at 70%

Adesanya

9.6

Santos

8.4

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

67% stoppage rate vs 70%

Adesanya

8.0

Santos

8.3

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 193cm / 190cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Adesanya

5.6

Santos

4.4

DurabilityWeight: ★★

80% survival rate vs 70%

Adesanya

8.8

Santos

7.7

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

37 years old vs 42 years old

Adesanya

6.1

Santos

3.0

ExperienceWeight: ★★

30 bouts vs 33 bouts

Adesanya

9.3

Santos

10.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.