Israel Adesanya vs Jérôme Thomas

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

🇳🇿

Israel Adesanya

24-6-0

🇫🇷

Jérôme Thomas

14-1-1

55%8% Draw37%

Adesanya

Thomas

Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Israel Adesanya a 55% edge over Jérôme Thomas in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Israel Adesanya wins 80% vs Jérôme Thomas at 88%

Adesanya

9.6

Thomas

10.0

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

67% stoppage rate vs 0%

Adesanya

8.0

Thomas

0.0

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 193cm / 168cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Adesanya

7.0

Thomas

3.0

DurabilityWeight: ★★

80% survival rate vs 94%

Adesanya

8.8

Thomas

10.0

ExperienceWeight: ★★

30 bouts vs 16 bouts

Adesanya

10.0

Thomas

6.3

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

37 years old vs 47 years old

Adesanya

6.1

Thomas

3.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.