Israel Adesanya vs Benjamin Whittaker — stats-based predictionIsrael Adesanya vs Benjamin Whittaker — stats-based prediction

Israel Adesanya vs Benjamin Whittaker

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇳🇿

Israel Adesanya

24-6-0
VS
🇬🇧

Benjamin Whittaker

12-0-1
45%10% Draw45%
Adesanya
Whittaker
Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Benjamin Whittaker a 45% edge over Israel Adesanya in this matchup. The prediction is driven by experience as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Israel Adesanya wins 80% vs Benjamin Whittaker at 92%

Adesanya
9.6
Whittaker
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

67% stoppage rate vs 67%

Adesanya
8.0
Whittaker
8.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

80% survival rate vs 100%

Adesanya
8.8
Whittaker
10.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 193cm / ?cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Adesanya
5.0
Whittaker
5.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

30 bouts vs 13 bouts

Adesanya
10.0
Whittaker
5.5
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

37 years old vs 29 years old

Adesanya
6.2
Whittaker
8.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.