Ilia Evloev vs Alex Volkanovski — stats-based predictionIlia Evloev vs Alex Volkanovski — stats-based prediction

Ilia Evloev vs Alex Volkanovski

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Ilia Evloev

20-0-0
VS

Alex Volkanovski

28-4-0
41%10% Draw49%
Evloev
Volkanovski
Predicted outcome: TKO / Late Stoppage

Our stats-based model gives Alex Volkanovski a 49% edge over Ilia Evloev in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a TKO / Late Stoppage in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Ilia Evloev wins 100% vs Alex Volkanovski at 88%

Evloev
10.0
Volkanovski
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

15% stoppage rate vs 46%

Evloev
1.8
Volkanovski
5.6
DurabilityWeight: ★★

100% survival rate vs 88%

Evloev
10.0
Volkanovski
9.6
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 170cm / ?cm, Reach 5cm / 5cm

Evloev
5.0
Volkanovski
5.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

20 bouts vs 32 bouts

Evloev
7.0
Volkanovski
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

33 years old vs 30 years old

Evloev
8.0
Volkanovski
8.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.