Holly Holm vs Jesse Rodriguez

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: HIGH

Holly Holm

15-7-0

🇺🇸

Jesse Rodriguez

23-0-0

47%10% Draw43%

Holm

Rodriguez

Predicted outcome: TKO / Late Stoppage

Our stats-based model gives Holly Holm a 47% edge over Jesse Rodriguez in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a TKO / Late Stoppage in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Holly Holm wins 68% vs Jesse Rodriguez at 100%

Holm

8.2

Rodriguez

10.0

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

53% stoppage rate vs 0%

Holm

6.4

Rodriguez

0.0

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 173cm / 163cm, Reach ?cm / 170cm

Holm

7.0

Rodriguez

3.0

DurabilityWeight: ★★

68% survival rate vs 100%

Holm

7.5

Rodriguez

10.0

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

45 years old vs 27 years old

Holm

3.0

Rodriguez

8.0

ExperienceWeight: ★★

22 bouts vs 23 bouts

Holm

9.7

Rodriguez

10.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.