Gustavo Oliveira vs Conor McGregor

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: HIGH

Gustavo Oliveira

37-11-0

🇮🇪

Conor McGregor

22-6-0

43%10% Draw47%

Oliveira

McGregor

Predicted outcome: KO/TKO

Our stats-based model gives Conor McGregor a 47% edge over Gustavo Oliveira in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a KO/TKO in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Gustavo Oliveira wins 77% vs Conor McGregor at 79%

Oliveira

9.3

McGregor

9.4

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

27% stoppage rate vs 86%

Oliveira

3.2

McGregor

10.0

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 178cm / 174cm, Reach 188cm / ?cm

Oliveira

5.8

McGregor

4.2

DurabilityWeight: ★★

77% survival rate vs 79%

Oliveira

8.5

McGregor

8.6

ExperienceWeight: ★★

48 bouts vs 28 bouts

Oliveira

10.0

McGregor

6.7

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

37 years old vs 38 years old

Oliveira

6.3

McGregor

5.1

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.