Gustavo Oliveira vs Alex Volkanovski

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Gustavo Oliveira

37-11-0

Alex Volkanovski

28-4-0

45%10% Draw45%

Oliveira

Volkanovski

Predicted outcome: TKO / Late Stoppage

Our stats-based model gives Alex Volkanovski a 45% edge over Gustavo Oliveira in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a TKO / Late Stoppage in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Gustavo Oliveira wins 77% vs Alex Volkanovski at 88%

Oliveira

9.3

Volkanovski

10.0

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

27% stoppage rate vs 46%

Oliveira

3.2

Volkanovski

5.6

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 178cm / ?cm, Reach 188cm / 5cm

Oliveira

7.0

Volkanovski

3.0

DurabilityWeight: ★★

77% survival rate vs 88%

Oliveira

8.5

Volkanovski

9.6

ExperienceWeight: ★★

48 bouts vs 32 bouts

Oliveira

10.0

Volkanovski

7.3

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

37 years old vs 30 years old

Oliveira

6.1

Volkanovski

8.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.