Gilbert Melendez vs Jay Rodriguez — stats-based predictionGilbert Melendez vs Jay Rodriguez — stats-based prediction

Gilbert Melendez vs Jay Rodriguez

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Gilbert Melendez

44-8-0
VS

Jay Rodriguez

20-5-0
43%10% Draw47%
Melendez
Rodriguez
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Jay Rodriguez a 47% edge over Gilbert Melendez in this matchup. The prediction is driven by age & prime as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Gilbert Melendez wins 85% vs Jay Rodriguez at 80%

Melendez
10.0
Rodriguez
9.6
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

27% stoppage rate vs 40%

Melendez
3.3
Rodriguez
4.8
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 175cm / 180cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Melendez
4.0
Rodriguez
6.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

85% survival rate vs 80%

Melendez
9.3
Rodriguez
8.8
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

44 years old vs 34 years old

Melendez
3.0
Rodriguez
9.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

52 bouts vs 25 bouts

Melendez
10.0
Rodriguez
5.8

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.