BREAKINGGervonta Davis vs Naoya Inoue — stats-based predictionBREAKINGGervonta Davis vs Naoya Inoue — stats-based prediction

Gervonta Davis vs Naoya Inoue

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Gervonta Davis

31-0-1
VS
🇯🇵

Naoya Inoue

32-0-0
45%10% Draw45%
Davis
Inoue
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Naoya Inoue a 45% edge over Gervonta Davis in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Gervonta Davis wins 97% vs Naoya Inoue at 100%

Davis
10.0
Inoue
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Davis
0.0
Inoue
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 168cm / 163cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Davis
6.0
Inoue
4.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

100% survival rate vs 100%

Davis
10.0
Inoue
10.0
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

31 years old vs 33 years old

Davis
8.0
Inoue
10.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

32 bouts vs 32 bouts

Davis
10.0
Inoue
10.0
Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.