Gervonta Davis vs Eddie Alvarez — stats-based predictionGervonta Davis vs Eddie Alvarez — stats-based prediction

Gervonta Davis vs Eddie Alvarez

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Gervonta Davis

31-0-1
VS

Eddie Alvarez

30-8-0
41%10% Draw49%
Davis
Alvarez
Predicted outcome: TKO / Late Stoppage

Our stats-based model gives Eddie Alvarez a 49% edge over Gervonta Davis in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a TKO / Late Stoppage in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Gervonta Davis wins 97% vs Eddie Alvarez at 79%

Davis
10.0
Alvarez
9.5
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 57%

Davis
0.0
Alvarez
6.8
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 168cm / 175cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Davis
3.6
Alvarez
6.4
DurabilityWeight: ★★

100% survival rate vs 79%

Davis
10.0
Alvarez
8.7
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

32 years old vs 42 years old

Davis
8.0
Alvarez
3.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

32 bouts vs 38 bouts

Davis
8.7
Alvarez
10.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.