Floyd Mayweather vs Joseph Benavidez — stats-based predictionFloyd Mayweather vs Joseph Benavidez — stats-based prediction

Floyd Mayweather vs Joseph Benavidez

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Floyd Mayweather

50-0-0
VS

Joseph Benavidez

28-8-0
47%10% Draw43%
Mayweather
Benavidez
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Floyd Mayweather a 47% edge over Joseph Benavidez in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Floyd Mayweather wins 100% vs Joseph Benavidez at 78%

Mayweather
10.0
Benavidez
9.3
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 29%

Mayweather
0.0
Benavidez
3.4
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 170cm / 163cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Mayweather
6.4
Benavidez
3.6
DurabilityWeight: ★★

100% survival rate vs 78%

Mayweather
10.0
Benavidez
8.6
ExperienceWeight: ★★

50 bouts vs 36 bouts

Mayweather
10.0
Benavidez
7.8
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

49 years old vs 42 years old

Mayweather
3.0
Benavidez
3.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.