Floyd Mayweather vs Eddie Alvarez — stats-based predictionFloyd Mayweather vs Eddie Alvarez — stats-based prediction

Floyd Mayweather vs Eddie Alvarez

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

Floyd Mayweather

50-0-0
VS

Eddie Alvarez

30-8-0
41%10% Draw49%
Mayweather
Alvarez
Predicted outcome: TKO / Late Stoppage

Our stats-based model gives Eddie Alvarez a 49% edge over Floyd Mayweather in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a TKO / Late Stoppage in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Floyd Mayweather wins 100% vs Eddie Alvarez at 79%

Mayweather
10.0
Alvarez
9.5
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 57%

Mayweather
0.0
Alvarez
6.8
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 170cm / 175cm, Reach ?cm / ?cm

Mayweather
4.0
Alvarez
6.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

100% survival rate vs 79%

Mayweather
10.0
Alvarez
8.7
ExperienceWeight: ★★

50 bouts vs 38 bouts

Mayweather
10.0
Alvarez
8.1
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

49 years old vs 42 years old

Mayweather
3.0
Alvarez
3.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.