Filip Hrgović vs Moses Itauma — stats-based predictionFilip Hrgović vs Moses Itauma — stats-based prediction

Filip Hrgović vs Moses Itauma

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM
🇭🇷

Filip Hrgović

20-1-0
VS

Moses Itauma

14-0-0
48%10% Draw42%
Hrgović
Itauma
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Filip Hrgović a 48% edge over Moses Itauma in this matchup. The prediction is driven by experience as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Filip Hrgović wins 95% vs Moses Itauma at 100%

Hrgović
10.0
Itauma
10.0
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Hrgović
0.0
Itauma
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 198cm / 193cm, Reach ?cm / 201cm

Hrgović
6.0
Itauma
4.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

95% survival rate vs 100%

Hrgović
10.0
Itauma
10.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

21 bouts vs 14 bouts

Hrgović
10.0
Itauma
7.3
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

34 years old vs 30 years old

Hrgović
8.6
Itauma
8.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.