Ezzard Charles vs Gustavo Oliveira — stats-based predictionEzzard Charles vs Gustavo Oliveira — stats-based prediction

Ezzard Charles vs Gustavo Oliveira

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: HIGH

Ezzard Charles

121-25-1
VS

Gustavo Oliveira

37-11-0
46%10% Draw44%
Charles
Oliveira
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Ezzard Charles a 46% edge over Gustavo Oliveira in this matchup. The prediction is driven by finishing power as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Ezzard Charles wins 82% vs Gustavo Oliveira at 77%

Charles
9.9
Oliveira
9.3
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 27%

Charles
0.0
Oliveira
3.2
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 183cm / 178cm, Reach ?cm / 188cm

Charles
6.0
Oliveira
4.0
DurabilityWeight: ★★

83% survival rate vs 77%

Charles
9.1
Oliveira
8.5
ExperienceWeight: ★★

147 bouts vs 48 bouts

Charles
10.0
Oliveira
4.6
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

105 years old vs 37 years old

Charles
3.0
Oliveira
6.3

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.