Errol Spence vs Terri Harper — stats-based predictionErrol Spence vs Terri Harper — stats-based prediction

Errol Spence vs Terri Harper

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: HIGH

Errol Spence

29-1-0
VS

Terri Harper

21-3-2
46%10% Draw44%
Spence
Harper
Predicted outcome: Decision

Our stats-based model gives Errol Spence a 46% edge over Terri Harper in this matchup. The prediction is driven by age & prime as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a Decision in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Errol Spence wins 97% vs Terri Harper at 81%

Spence
10.0
Harper
9.7
Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 0%

Spence
0.0
Harper
0.0
Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 175cm / 173cm, Reach ?cm / 165cm

Spence
5.4
Harper
4.6
DurabilityWeight: ★★

97% survival rate vs 88%

Spence
10.0
Harper
9.7
Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

36 years old vs 30 years old

Spence
6.8
Harper
8.0
ExperienceWeight: ★★

30 bouts vs 26 bouts

Spence
10.0
Harper
8.9

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.