Erik Morales vs Machado Garry

Stats-based fight prediction · Factor analysis · Win probability

PREDICTIONConfidence: MEDIUM

🇲🇽

Erik Morales

61-9-0

Machado Garry

17-2-0

38%10% Draw52%

Morales

Garry

Predicted outcome: TKO / Late Stoppage

Our stats-based model gives Machado Garry a 52% edge over Erik Morales in this matchup. The prediction is driven by physical attributes as the dominant factor. The most likely outcome is a TKO / Late Stoppage in what should be a competitive fight.

Factor Analysis

Win RateWeight: ★★★

Erik Morales wins 87% vs Machado Garry at 89%

Morales

10.0

Garry

10.0

Finishing PowerWeight: ★★★

0% stoppage rate vs 41%

Morales

0.0

Garry

4.9

Physical AttributesWeight: ★★

Height 173cm / 191cm, Reach ?cm / 188cm

Morales

1.4

Garry

8.6

DurabilityWeight: ★★

87% survival rate vs 89%

Morales

9.6

Garry

9.8

ExperienceWeight: ★★

70 bouts vs 19 bouts

Morales

10.0

Garry

4.2

Age & PrimeWeight: ★★

50 years old vs 30 years old

Morales

3.0

Garry

8.0

Ask about this fight

AI · fact-anchored

Grounded in both fighters' records, measurements and recent results. We don't fabricate — if we don't have the data, we'll say so.

Disclaimer: This prediction is generated algorithmically based on publicly available statistics and should not be used as gambling advice. Fight outcomes depend on many factors that statistics alone cannot capture, including game plans, training camps, and in-ring adjustments. Always gamble responsibly.